SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 44.67%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 26.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Tigre |
44.67% ( -0.15) | 29.24% ( -0) | 26.09% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 41.2% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.17% ( 0.08) | 64.83% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.23% ( 0.05) | 83.77% ( -0.06) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( -0.04) | 29.09% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.99% ( -0.05) | 65.01% ( 0.05) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.11% ( 0.18) | 41.89% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.66% ( 0.16) | 78.34% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 15.04% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.44% Total : 44.66% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.24% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.17% Total : 26.08% |
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