SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
41.58% ( 0.02) | 28.58% ( 0.02) | 29.84% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.87% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.72% ( -0.07) | 61.28% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.79% ( -0.05) | 81.2% ( 0.05) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.95% ( -0.02) | 29.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.04% ( -0.03) | 64.95% ( 0.03) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.24% ( -0.07) | 36.76% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.45% ( -0.07) | 73.54% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.56% Total : 41.58% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 29.83% |
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