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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera
LH

Nice
1 - 0
Le Havre

Boga (12')
Todibo (16'), Bard (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-3 Nice
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 2-0 Le Havre

Morale is high in both camps right now, but Nice have partially returned to their former defensive ways, while Le Havre's rearguard record on the road still leaves a lot to be desired. A lengthy rest could either be a help or a hindrance for Farioli's men, but we still have faith in the Champions League hopefuls to get the job done and leave Le Havre relying on other results to go their way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 65.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nice.

Result
NiceDrawLe Havre
65.52% (0.19 0.19) 20.52% (-0.099 -0.1) 13.96% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 47.12% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57% (0.224 0.22)47.43% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (0.209 0.21)69.64% (-0.209 -0.21)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.34% (0.128 0.13)13.66% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.14% (0.254 0.25)40.85% (-0.253 -0.25)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.57% (0.0019999999999953 0)45.42% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.73% (0.0010000000000012 0)81.27% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Nice 65.51%
    Le Havre 13.96%
    Draw 20.52%
NiceDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 12.35% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 12.29%
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.16% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.06% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.62% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 65.51%
1-1 @ 9.75% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.83%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.52%
0-1 @ 4.9% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.85% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 13.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-3 Nice
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Nice
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 3-0 Lorient
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 0-0 Nice
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-2 Nantes
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-3 Nice
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 3-3 Le Havre
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Metz
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Nantes
Sunday, April 14 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-1 Le Havre
Saturday, April 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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