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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
ML

Le Havre
0 - 1
Metz


Sangante (21'), Targhalline (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mikautadze (46')
N'Doram (16'), Boloni (17'), Oukidja (78'), Jean Jacques (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Nantes
Sunday, April 14 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 2-1 Lens
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Havre 1-2 Metz

Le Havre come into this game having won just one of their last 12 games across all competitions, and with Metz winning three of their last six, the visitors come into this one in much better form. While the visitors have failed to beat the hosts since 2014, we believe that their recent performances and results leave them as the favourites to win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Metz had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawMetz
40.07% (0.332 0.33) 25.92% (0.032 0.03) 34.01% (-0.364 -0.36)
Both teams to score 54.18% (-0.188 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)50.1% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (-0.183 -0.18)72.07% (0.184 0.18)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (0.081000000000003 0.08)24.65% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (0.111 0.11)59.17% (-0.11 -0.11)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (-0.324 -0.32)28.09% (0.326 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (-0.414 -0.41)63.76% (0.414 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 40.07%
    Metz 34.01%
    Draw 25.92%
Le HavreDrawMetz
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.103 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.79% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 40.07%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Nantes
Sunday, April 14 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-1 Le Havre
Saturday, April 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Toulouse
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Le Havre
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 2-1 Lens
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 4-3 Metz
Sunday, April 7 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 2-5 Monaco
Saturday, March 30 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-1 Metz
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-0 Clermont
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Metz
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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