After failing to keep clean sheets in three of the preceding four matches at the Allianz Riviera, Nice have prevented Lorient (3-0) and Le Havre (1-0) from scoring, even if the opposition's struggles should be considered. Nevertheless, the Eaglets' motivation to secure a coveted European berth should see them avoid defeat against a PSG side expected to be at full strength again.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Nice had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.01) 
