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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.48%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 19.92% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.22%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (5.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
60.48% ( 2.14) | 19.59% ( -0.14) | 19.92% ( -2.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.59% ( -2.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.92% ( -2.26) | 32.08% ( 2.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.34% ( -2.68) | 53.66% ( 2.68) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.59% ( -0.15) | 10.4% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.05% ( -0.34) | 33.94% ( 0.33) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% ( -3.06) | 29.02% ( 3.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.07% ( -3.95) | 64.92% ( 3.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.83)3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.77)3-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.59)3-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.3)4-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.32)4-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.13)5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.41% Total : 60.48% | 1-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.36)0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.36)3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.3)Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.59% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.32)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.1% Total : 19.92% |
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