SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 76.12%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 9.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a Lorient win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
9.53% ( -0.04) | 14.35% ( -0.01) | 76.12% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.75% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.89% ( -0.08) | 30.11% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.68% ( -0.1) | 51.32% ( 0.1) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.58% ( -0.15) | 41.42% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.07% ( -0.13) | 77.93% ( 0.13) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.46% ( -0) | 6.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.63% ( -0.02) | 24.37% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.39% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 9.53% | 1-1 @ 6.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.35% | 0-2 @ 10.07% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 9.16% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 8.07% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 6.25% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 3% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.55% ( 0)1-6 @ 1.37% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.17% Total : 76.12% |
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