SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Nice had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nice |
51.67% ( 0.07) | 23.4% ( 0) | 24.93% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.07% ( -0.08) | 43.93% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.68% ( -0.08) | 66.31% ( 0.07) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( -0.01) | 17.04% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.81% ( -0.01) | 47.19% ( 0.01) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% ( -0.1) | 31.37% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.26% ( -0.11) | 67.74% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nice |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 3.98% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 24.93% |
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