SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Celje had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana | Draw | Celje |
41.98% ( 0.19) | 24.51% ( -0.16) | 33.51% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.91% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.09% ( 0.75) | 43.91% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.71% ( 0.72) | 66.29% ( -0.72) |
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( 0.41) | 21.01% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.21% ( 0.63) | 53.78% ( -0.63) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% ( 0.33) | 25.42% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.76% ( 0.46) | 60.24% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana | Draw | Celje |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.7% Total : 41.98% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.51% |
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