SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for NS Mura had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a NS Mura win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | NS Mura |
56.75% ( -0.25) | 22.92% ( 0.2) | 20.32% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.02% ( -0.79) | 46.98% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.78% ( -0.75) | 69.22% ( 0.75) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% ( -0.37) | 16.33% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.08% ( -0.67) | 45.92% ( 0.67) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.71% ( -0.41) | 37.29% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.93% ( -0.4) | 74.07% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | NS Mura |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.19% Total : 56.75% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 20.32% |
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