SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Aluminij had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for an Aluminij win it was 2-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aluminij | Draw | Celje |
16.74% ( 0.33) | 19.76% ( 0.2) | 63.5% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.54% ( -0.31) | 38.47% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.24% ( -0.33) | 60.76% ( 0.33) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.79% ( 0.2) | 36.21% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27% ( 0.2) | 73% ( -0.2) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.49% ( -0.23) | 11.51% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.6% ( -0.5) | 36.4% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aluminij | Draw | Celje |
| 2-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 16.74% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.76% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 7.13% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 7.02% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 3.85% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 3.79% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.18% Total : 63.51% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
