SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Koper had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Koper win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Koper |
38.73% ( 1.25) | 25.15% ( -0.2) | 36.12% ( -1.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.6% ( 0.85) | 46.4% ( -0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.32% ( 0.8) | 68.68% ( -0.8) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% ( 1.05) | 23.68% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.2% ( 1.49) | 57.79% ( -1.49) |
| Koper Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( -0.19) | 25.09% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.21% ( -0.27) | 59.78% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | Koper |
| 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.73% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.12% |
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