SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 51.83%. A win for Celje had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana | Draw | Celje |
51.83% ( -0.16) | 23.09% ( 0.05) | 25.07% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.13% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.58% ( -0.11) | 42.42% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.17% ( -0.11) | 64.83% ( 0.11) |
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.57% ( -0.1) | 16.43% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.9% ( -0.18) | 46.1% ( 0.18) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% ( 0.04) | 30.45% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.34% ( 0.05) | 66.65% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana | Draw | Celje |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 51.83% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0)0-0 @ 5% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.07% |
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