SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
30.05% ( -0.55) | 26.07% ( -0.24) | 43.88% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 52.25% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.07% ( 0.75) | 51.93% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.33% ( 0.65) | 73.67% ( -0.65) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% ( -0.01) | 31.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.93% ( -0.01) | 68.07% ( 0.01) |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.46% ( 0.72) | 23.54% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.41% ( 1.03) | 57.6% ( -1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.05% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.85% Total : 43.87% |
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