SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
40.85% ( 0.26) | 25.39% ( -0.01) | 33.76% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.91% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.16% | 47.84% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.98% ( 0) | 70.02% ( -0) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( 0.13) | 23.24% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.84% ( 0.19) | 57.16% ( -0.19) |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.84% ( -0.15) | 27.16% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.44% ( -0.2) | 62.56% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.85% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.76% |
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