Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Northampton Town in this match.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
