SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal Under-19s | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Italy Under-19s | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Poland Under-19s | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Malta Under-19s | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 85.34%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Northern Ireland Under-19s had a probability of 4.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 0-4 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a Northern Ireland Under-19s win it was 1-0 (1.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Italy Under-19s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Italy Under-19s.
| Result | ||
| Northern Ireland Under-19s | Draw | Italy Under-19s |
4.55% ( 0.73) | 10.11% ( 0.21) | 85.34% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 43.11% ( 5.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.49% ( 3.53) | 29.51% ( -3.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.4% ( 4.17) | 50.6% ( -4.16) |
| Northern Ireland Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.28% ( 5.95) | 54.72% ( -5.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.28% ( 3.27) | 87.71% ( -3.27) |
| Italy Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.22% ( 0.46) | 4.78% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.68% ( 1.37) | 19.32% ( -1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Northern Ireland Under-19s | Draw | Italy Under-19s |
| 1-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.28)Other @ 1.53% Total : 4.55% | 1-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.56)2-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.47)Other @ 0.5% Total : 10.11% | 0-3 @ 12.25% ( -1.33) 0-2 @ 12.09% ( -1.72)0-4 @ 9.32% ( -0.69)0-1 @ 7.96% ( -1.42)1-3 @ 7.39% ( 0.6)1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.38)0-5 @ 5.67% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 5.62% ( 0.61)1-5 @ 3.42% ( 0.46)0-6 @ 2.87% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.53)1-6 @ 1.73% ( 0.28)2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.44)0-7 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.29)Other @ 3.53% Total : 85.32% |
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