Taking into account Spain's route through both qualifying and the group stage, La Rojita pose the most attacking threat and boast a more solid defence than their semi-final opponents. While Italy's squad features some talented stars of the future, they are collectively vulnerable at the back.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-19s win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-19s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
