Totally irresistible so far this summer - and for several months beforehand - Portugal can continue their imperious form and wrap up a merited Under-19 Euros crown in Malta. Throughout the tournament, Italy have been caught out defensively, so they will be beaten again by their group-stage tormentors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-19s win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-19s win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Italy Under-19s win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
