SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal Under-19s | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Italy Under-19s | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland Under-19s | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Malta Under-19s | 2 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal Under-19s | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Italy Under-19s | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland Under-19s | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Malta Under-19s | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland Under-19s win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland Under-19s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Italy Under-19s win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Italy Under-19s | Draw | Poland Under-19s |
17.07% ( -25.45) | 20.34% ( -3.45) | 62.58% ( 28.89) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( -6.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.42% ( -0.12) | 40.58% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.04% ( -0.12) | 62.96% ( 0.12) |
| Italy Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% ( -17.78) | 37.1% ( 17.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.11% ( -22.8) | 73.88% ( 22.8) |
| Poland Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.6% ( 11.28) | 12.4% ( -11.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.71% ( 19.51) | 38.29% ( -19.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Italy Under-19s | Draw | Poland Under-19s |
| 2-1 @ 4.72% ( -4.19) 1-0 @ 4.56% ( -2.96)2-0 @ 2.26% ( -3.92)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -1.89)3-1 @ 1.56% ( -3.32)Other @ 2.34% Total : 17.07% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( -1.31) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -1.49)0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.55)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.34% | 0-2 @ 10.02% ( 5.27) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 2.14)0-1 @ 9.6% ( 3.01)0-3 @ 6.97% ( 4.7)1-3 @ 6.92% ( 3.17)0-4 @ 3.64% ( 2.82)1-4 @ 3.61% ( 2.26)2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.35)2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.68)0-5 @ 1.52% ( 1.28)1-5 @ 1.51% ( 1.12)Other @ 3.64% Total : 62.58% |
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