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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
PA

Norwich
2 - 1
Plymouth

Sargent (67'), Phillips (74' og.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Whittaker (10')
Randell (18'), Foster (19'), Sorinola (30'), Miller (35'), Houghton (70'), Devine (70'), Forshaw (80'), Pleguezuelo (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-3 Norwich
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Preston
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Plymouth Argyle

Both teams enter Friday's contest in contrasting form, but high-flying Norwich cannot take Plymouth lightly considering their thumping by the Pilgrims in the reverse fixture. However, the Canaries are in a strong position this time around to gain revenge and have plenty of attacking options at their disposal to outscore their opponents en route to an important victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 69.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
69.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 18.25% (0.0030000000000001 0) 12.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Both teams to score 48.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.37% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.12% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)10.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.98% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)35.02% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)45.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.04%80.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 69.71%
    Plymouth Argyle 12.03%
    Draw 18.25%
Norwich CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 12.05%
1-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 8.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.11%
4-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.84%
5-0 @ 2.19%
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 69.71%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 18.25%
0-1 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.02%
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 12.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stoke 0-3 Norwich
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 Norwich
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 Sunderland
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 4-1 Cardiff
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Preston
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Plymouth
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Plymouth
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-3 West Brom
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Championship


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