SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 79.77%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 6.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.78%) and 1-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Rotherham United |
79.77% ( 0.23) | 13.63% ( -0.14) | 6.59% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 42.2% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.81% ( 0.38) | 38.19% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.53% ( 0.4) | 60.47% ( -0.4) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.43% ( 0.14) | 7.57% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.88% ( 0.35) | 27.12% ( -0.34) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.65% ( 0.04) | 54.35% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.52% ( 0.03) | 87.49% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 2-0 @ 13.7% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.23% Total : 79.76% | 1-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 13.63% | 0-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 6.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
