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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
S

Norwich
1 - 0
Sunderland

Sargent (81')
Giannoulis (76'), Sorensen (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hume (44'), Ekwah (59'), Seelt (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Sunderland

Despite dropping two points at Blackburn last weekend, Norwich are still in brilliant form and should be confident of potentially breaking into the top six on Saturday. Sunderland are in a real rut as they battle on without their star man Clarke and a permanent manager, so we are not expecting much from the Black Cats at Carrow Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSunderland
41.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 33.44% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)44.65% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.01% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (0.00099999999999056 0)21.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67%54.33% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (0.010999999999996 0.01)60.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.9%
    Sunderland 33.44%
    Draw 24.66%
Norwich CityDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 41.9%
1-1 @ 11.52%
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 4-1 Cardiff
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 4-2 Watford
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Coventry
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Liverpool 5-2 Norwich
Sunday, January 28 at 2.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Sunderland
Wednesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Plymouth
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland
Sunday, February 4 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Championship


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