There will be a mixture of nerves and ambition to push forward in this match, both teams aware of the progress that they could make with a victory. However, we feel that an entertaining draw is the most likely outcome, a result that will not necessarily suit either side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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