SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Elversberg |
40.07% ( 1.11) | 23.76% ( -0) | 36.17% ( -1.1) |
| Both teams to score 62.26% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.21% ( -0.08) | 39.79% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.85% ( -0.08) | 62.14% ( 0.08) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( 0.48) | 20.13% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.59% ( 0.77) | 52.41% ( -0.77) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( -0.6) | 22.04% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.63% ( -0.91) | 55.36% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Elversberg |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.05% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.17% |
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