SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
31.15% ( 0.05) | 23.96% ( 0.05) | 44.89% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.87% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.77% ( -0.19) | 42.23% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( -0.19) | 64.63% ( 0.19) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.95% ( -0.06) | 26.05% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.91% ( -0.09) | 61.09% ( 0.09) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( -0.11) | 19.03% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.39% ( -0.19) | 50.61% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.15% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 44.89% |
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