SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Obolon Kyiv win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
39.93% ( -0.58) | 27.63% ( 0.04) | 32.44% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 48.44% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.77% ( -0.02) | 57.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.92% ( -0.01) | 78.08% ( 0.01) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% ( -0.33) | 28.02% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.33% ( -0.42) | 63.67% ( 0.42) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% ( 0.37) | 32.7% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.75% ( 0.41) | 69.25% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 1-0 @ 11.65% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.93% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.44% |
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