SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dnipro-1 | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
54.49% ( -0.2) | 24.75% ( 0.11) | 20.76% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.63% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.26% ( -0.32) | 53.75% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.78% ( -0.27) | 75.23% ( 0.27) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( -0.2) | 19.67% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.34% ( -0.33) | 51.66% ( 0.33) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.3% ( -0.09) | 40.7% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.71% ( -0.08) | 77.29% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnipro-1 | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 1-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.48% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.25% Total : 20.76% |
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