SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Lviv win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Lviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Rukh Lviv |
31.85% ( 0.19) | 25.58% ( -0.04) | 42.57% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.63% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( 0.22) | 49.22% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( 0.2) | 71.28% ( -0.2) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.95% ( 0.24) | 29.05% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.04% ( 0.29) | 64.96% ( -0.29) |
| Rukh Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% ( 0.02) | 23% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.2% ( 0.03) | 56.8% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Rukh Lviv |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.85% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.57% |
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