SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inhulets win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inhulets win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Inhulets |
34.11% ( 0.2) | 28.65% ( 0.02) | 37.25% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 45.8% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.34% ( -0.05) | 60.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.26% ( -0.04) | 80.73% ( 0.04) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% ( 0.1) | 33.33% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.04% ( 0.12) | 69.95% ( -0.12) |
| Inhulets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.71% ( -0.16) | 31.29% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.35% ( -0.19) | 67.65% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Inhulets |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.1% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.64% | 0-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 37.24% |
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