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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 18
Aug 11, 2024 at 4pm UK
Skagerak Arena

Odd
1 - 1
Sarpsborg

Ingebrigtsen (29' pen.)
Ronningen Jorgensen (49'), Miettinen (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Christiansen (51')
Koch (28')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Odd 2-0 Stromsgodset
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 2-1 Sandefjord
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Odd 2-1 Sarpsborg 08

Despite Odd being the joint-lowest goalscorers in the division, we cannot ignore Sarpsborg's poor defensive record. With that in mind, we are backing home advantage to play its part with Odd edging this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Odd had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Odd win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
OddDrawSarpsborg 08
36.43% (0.552 0.55) 23.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 39.61% (-0.559 -0.56)
Both teams to score 61.58% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.31% (0.029999999999994 0.03)40.69% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.93% (0.030999999999999 0.03)63.07% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Odd Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (0.303 0.3)22.31% (-0.3 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (0.451 0.45)55.78% (-0.447 -0.45)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.27% (-0.246 -0.25)20.73% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.64% (-0.391 -0.39)53.36% (0.395 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Odd 36.43%
    Sarpsborg 08 39.62%
    Draw 23.94%
OddDrawSarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.21% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 36.43%
1-1 @ 10.91%
2-2 @ 6.44% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.94%
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 39.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Odd 2-0 Stromsgodset
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 3-1 Odd
Friday, July 19 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Odd 1-2 HamKam
Saturday, July 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Odd 1-2 HamKam
Saturday, July 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Rosenborg 2-1 Odd
Sunday, July 7 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Odd 1-1 Kristiansund
Friday, June 28 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 2-1 Sandefjord
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 2-2 Sarpsborg
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-1 Brann
Saturday, July 20 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 4-1 Rosenborg
Friday, July 12 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Haugesund 1-2 Sarpsborg
Sunday, July 7 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
Friday, June 28 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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