SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.79%) and 3-1 (5.44%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Rosenborg |
44.5% ( -0.64) | 22.16% ( 0.06) | 33.33% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 67.61% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.5% ( -0.05) | 32.5% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.85% ( -0.06) | 54.15% ( 0.06) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% ( -0.25) | 15.34% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.91% ( -0.47) | 44.09% ( 0.47) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( 0.28) | 20.13% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.59% ( 0.45) | 52.41% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Rosenborg |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.17% Total : 44.5% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.16% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.33% |
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