SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Aalesund | 18 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Odd | 18 | -14 | 20 |
| 13 | HamKam | 18 | -1 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | HamKam | 18 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Sarpsborg 08 | 18 | -3 | 19 |
| 15 | Jerv | 18 | -24 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Odd win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 37.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Odd win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.57%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Odd would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Odd | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
39.04% ( 1.35) | 23.4% ( -0.07) | 37.56% ( -1.27) |
| Both teams to score 63.77% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.11% ( 0.37) | 37.89% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.85% ( 0.39) | 60.14% ( -0.4) |
| Odd Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( 0.8) | 19.8% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.14% ( 1.28) | 51.86% ( -1.28) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( -0.44) | 20.49% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.02% ( -0.71) | 52.98% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Odd | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.21% Total : 39.04% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.4% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.08)Other @ 3% Total : 37.56% |
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