SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
47.84% ( 0.12) | 22.87% ( -0.05) | 29.28% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 62.65% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.91% ( 0.17) | 38.08% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.65% ( 0.18) | 60.35% ( -0.18) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.73% ( 0.11) | 16.26% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.2% ( 0.19) | 45.79% ( -0.2) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( 0.04) | 25.18% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.09% ( 0.05) | 59.9% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.6% Total : 47.84% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.28% |
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