Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Olympiacos in this match.
-0.52) 
0.65) 
