Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 47.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for PAOK had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a PAOK win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
0.04) 
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