Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Panathinaikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
38.03% ( -0.3) | 27.49% ( 0.02) | 34.48% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 49.26% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.61% ( -0.05) | 56.39% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.59% ( -0.04) | 77.41% ( 0.04) |
Panathinaikos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% ( -0.2) | 28.71% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.46% ( -0.25) | 64.54% ( 0.25) |
AEK Athens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.1% ( 0.16) | 30.9% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.81% ( 0.18) | 67.19% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Panathinaikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
1-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.03% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.47% |
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