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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Olympiacos had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Olympiacos win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Olympiacos |
57.42% ( 1.44) | 23.5% ( -0.39) | 19.08% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.71% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.02% ( 0.22) | 50.98% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.16% ( 0.19) | 72.84% ( -0.19) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.47% ( 0.61) | 17.53% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.95% ( 1.05) | 48.05% ( -1.04) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.07% ( -1.02) | 40.93% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.5% ( -0.93) | 77.49% ( 0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.33)2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.59% Total : 57.4% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.05% Total : 19.08% |
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