SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
49.16% ( -0.19) | 24.92% ( 0.15) | 25.91% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.91% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.31% ( -0.57) | 49.69% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( -0.51) | 71.7% ( 0.51) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( -0.31) | 20.23% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.43% ( -0.49) | 52.56% ( 0.49) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.34% ( -0.27) | 33.66% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.69% ( -0.29) | 70.31% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 49.16% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 25.91% |
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