SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
46.16% ( -0.26) | 25.13% ( 0.1) | 28.71% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.44% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.28% ( -0.35) | 48.71% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.17% ( -0.32) | 70.82% ( 0.31) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% ( -0.26) | 21.13% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.03% ( -0.4) | 53.97% ( 0.4) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.02% ( -0.06) | 30.98% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.72% ( -0.07) | 67.28% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 46.15% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.71% |
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