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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 26
Apr 29, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Rostov Arena

Rostov
2 - 1
Orenburg

Cesar (81'), Komlichenko (90+6')
Cesar (31'), Langovich (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thompson (12')
Mansilla (41'), Ghorbani (51'), Prokhin (85')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Rostov and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ural 0-1 Rostov
Thursday, April 25 at 2pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 1-2 Dynamo Moscow
Wednesday, April 24 at 2pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.

Result
RostovDrawOrenburg
51.14% (-0.385 -0.38) 24.44% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 24.41% (0.354 0.35)
Both teams to score 52.97% (0.283 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.08% (0.187 0.19)48.92% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.99% (0.169 0.17)71.01% (-0.169 -0.17)
Rostov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)19.12% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.24% (-0.13 -0.13)50.76% (0.132 0.13)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.49% (0.414 0.41)34.51% (-0.41099999999999 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.77% (0.435 0.44)71.22% (-0.434 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Rostov 51.14%
    Orenburg 24.41%
    Draw 24.44%
RostovDrawOrenburg
1-0 @ 10.91% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 51.14%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 1% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.74% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 24.41%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ural 0-1 Rostov
Thursday, April 25 at 2pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rostov 1-5 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, April 21 at 6.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 0-1 Rostov
Sunday, April 14 at 2.45pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rostov 2-2 Sochi
Saturday, April 6 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 1-4 Rostov
Friday, March 29 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rostov 2-1 Krasnodar
Friday, March 8 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 1-2 Dynamo Moscow
Wednesday, April 24 at 2pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Zenit 1-0 Orenburg
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 3-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, April 14 at 10am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 3-0 Rubin Kazan
Monday, April 8 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 0-0 Orenburg
Sunday, March 31 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 1-0 Baltika
Sunday, March 10 at 11am in Russian Premier League


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