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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 27
May 4, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
2 - 1
Krylia Sovetov

Perez (24' pen.), Vorobyev (67')
Ghorbani (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rahmanovic (53')
Orozco (56'), Rasskazov (89')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Krylia Sovetov.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rostov 2-1 Orenburg
Monday, April 29 at 5.45pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 0-0 Krasnodar
Monday, April 29 at 11am in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.

Result
OrenburgDrawKrylia Sovetov
47.98% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 25.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 26.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.93% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.74% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)51.25% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)73.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (0.010000000000005 0.01)21.37% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65% (0.019000000000005 0.02)54.35% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Krylia Sovetov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)33.95% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)70.62% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 47.98%
    Krylia Sovetov 26.58%
    Draw 25.42%
OrenburgDrawKrylia Sovetov
1-0 @ 11.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.98%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 26.58%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rostov 2-1 Orenburg
Monday, April 29 at 5.45pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 1-2 Dynamo Moscow
Wednesday, April 24 at 2pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Zenit 1-0 Orenburg
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 3-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, April 14 at 10am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 3-0 Rubin Kazan
Monday, April 8 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 0-0 Orenburg
Sunday, March 31 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 0-0 Krasnodar
Monday, April 29 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 0-1 Krylia Sovetov
Thursday, April 25 at 4.15pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Baltika 2-1 Krylia Sovetov
Saturday, April 20 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 2-0 Rubin Kazan
Sunday, April 14 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Ural 1-2 Krylia Sovetov
Saturday, April 6 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 1-1 Zenit
Saturday, March 30 at 11am in Russian Premier League


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