SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
35.46% ( -0.04) | 25.45% ( 0.02) | 39.08% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.03% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.17% ( -0.1) | 47.83% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.99% ( -0.09) | 70.01% ( 0.09) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.86% ( -0.07) | 26.14% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.79% ( -0.09) | 61.21% ( 0.09) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( -0.04) | 24.14% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.55% ( -0.06) | 58.45% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 35.46% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.55% 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.07% 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 39.08% |
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