SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bromley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Bromley |
17.84% ( 0.12) | 21.58% ( 0.13) | 60.58% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% ( -0.36) | 44.82% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.82% ( -0.34) | 67.18% ( 0.35) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.26% ( -0.07) | 38.74% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.52% ( -0.07) | 75.48% ( 0.07) |
| Bromley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.66% ( -0.19) | 14.34% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.81% ( -0.38) | 42.2% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Bromley |
| 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 17.84% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.58% | 0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 10.47% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.78% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 6.43% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 3.29% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.12% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.73% Total : 60.57% |
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