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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 49.84%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Wealdstone |
27.36% ( -0.57) | 22.81% ( -0.06) | 49.84% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 61.37% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.88% ( -0.15) | 39.12% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.55% ( -0.16) | 61.45% ( 0.17) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% ( -0.47) | 27% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.65% ( -0.63) | 62.35% ( 0.63) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.07% ( 0.17) | 15.93% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.81% ( 0.31) | 45.19% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.36% | 1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.82% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.67% Total : 49.84% |
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