SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Halifax Town |
21.38% ( -0.22) | 22.98% ( -0.05) | 55.64% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.08% ( -0.04) | 45.91% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.77% ( -0.04) | 68.22% ( 0.03) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.37% ( -0.24) | 35.63% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.6% ( -0.25) | 72.4% ( 0.24) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.66% ( 0.08) | 16.34% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.05% ( 0.15) | 45.94% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.9% Total : 21.38% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.98% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.39% 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 55.63% |
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