SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bromley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bromley | Draw | Oxford City |
50.27% ( -0.27) | 23.44% ( 0.09) | 26.29% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.14% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.04% ( -0.23) | 42.96% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( -0.23) | 65.36% ( 0.22) |
| Bromley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.81% ( -0.19) | 17.19% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.53% ( -0.33) | 47.47% ( 0.33) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% ( 0.02) | 29.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.14% ( 0.03) | 65.86% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bromley | Draw | Oxford City |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.27% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.18% Total : 26.29% |
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