SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 86.22%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 4.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 4-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.25%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Oxford City |
86.22% ( 0.27) | 9.24% ( -0.13) | 4.55% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 48.13% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.95% ( -0.14) | 24.05% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.34% ( -0.18) | 43.66% ( 0.18) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.28% ( 0.01) | 3.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.03% ( 0.06) | 15.97% ( -0.06) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.99% ( -0.7) | 50.01% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.34% ( -0.49) | 84.66% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Oxford City |
| 3-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.07)6-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)7-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)7-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 4.32% Total : 86.2% | 1-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.71% Total : 9.24% | 1-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 4.55% |
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