SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for MTK had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paksi SE would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paksi SE | Draw | MTK |
44.64% ( -0.03) | 23.92% ( -0.05) | 31.44% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 60.18% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.1% ( 0.26) | 41.89% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.7% ( 0.27) | 64.29% ( -0.27) |
| Paksi SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% ( 0.09) | 19% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.44% ( 0.15) | 50.55% ( -0.16) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( 0.18) | 25.7% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.37% ( 0.24) | 60.62% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paksi SE | Draw | MTK |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 44.64% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.44% |
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