SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panetolikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
19.31% ( 0.57) | 22.58% ( -0.2) | 58.11% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 51.93% ( 1.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.12% ( 1.61) | 46.88% ( -1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.87% ( 1.49) | 69.13% ( -1.49) |
| Panetolikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.7% ( 1.57) | 38.29% ( -1.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.95% ( 1.48) | 75.05% ( -1.48) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.16% ( 0.43) | 15.84% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.98% ( 0.79) | 45.02% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panetolikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 1-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.39% Total : 19.32% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.42)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.6) 0-2 @ 10.29% ( -0.4)1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 6.07% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.1)0-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.28% Total : 58.09% |
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